{"id":3143,"date":"2019-03-23T18:41:48","date_gmt":"2019-03-23T18:41:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.aptnewsghana.com\/?p=3143"},"modified":"2019-03-23T19:26:20","modified_gmt":"2019-03-23T19:26:20","slug":"ghana-at-the-mercy-of-eurobondswhat-do-we-celebrate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aptnewsghana.com\/index.php\/2019\/03\/23\/ghana-at-the-mercy-of-eurobondswhat-do-we-celebrate\/","title":{"rendered":"Ghana at the mercy of \u2018eurobonds\u2019\u2026what do we celebrate?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

We agree government spokespersons\nare paid to talk, but at least they can avoid the political spin to the issues.\nIt\u2019s amusing that they mostly talk to themselves and that is pathetic.  What is the celebration about a 3billion\ndollar credit facility? What are we doing with it? How does it affect the\nordinary Ghanaian? Indeed, if the economy is weak, the exchange rate would\nexpose you. Exchange rate risk has creeped into our future obligation – to\nservice a debt – at needlessly high above average price (interest rate).\nShameful jamboree by a debtor over creditors clamoring over a good deal for\nthem.  Did Ghana consider the question of\n\u2018value for Money\u2019?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fact is the prevailing economic conditions<\/a> (macroeconomic indicators) do not lend themselves in support of outcome of this Eurobond<\/a>.  Remember, the credit facility is only a short-gap measure for temporary respite. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

For now, we can do a comparative\nanalysis with the recent case of C\u00f4te d\u2019Ivoire, looking at the terms, while\nholding \u201call things equal\u201d. There is nothing markedly unprecedented about the\nover-subscription. Even during challenging election season, government under\nJohn Mahama\u2019s September 2016 call yielded a similar result which was taunted\nand compared with yields for Rwanda and other countries. Now here are a few\nthings to note about Bonds issued by neighboring West African countries though just\na year old.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Senegal on 6th<\/sup> March,\n2018 issued a $2.2billion with (One Billion euros -$1.2billion at coupon rate\nof 4.75% for 9 years; then One Billion Dollars – 6.75% for 29years and it was oversubscribed\n$10 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ivory Coast on 16th<\/sup>\nMarch, 2018 Issued $2.1 billion with coupon rates 12years – 5.25% and 20 years-\n6.25%, oversubscribed: $4.8billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ghana this year 20th<\/sup>\nMarch, 2019 Issued $3billion the seven-year bond attracted an interest rate of\n7.875 per cent, with the 12-year bond attracting 8.125 per cent coupon\n(interest rates), while the 31-year bond was priced at 8.95 per cent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is the stark reality we are\nfacing.  Ghana a more endowed country\nissues sovereign bonds and attract coupon rates well above what less endowed\ncountries like Cote d’Ivoire and Senegal – countries with similar economic\nprofiles or worse than ours.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ghanaians should be asking ourselves; we have similar economic profile as our neighbors, we are better endowed than they are, yet when we all go to issue sovereign bonds, they are able to do it for 2 to 2.5 percentage rate less than we are able to.  This is so, even though we state that our bond issue is oversubscribed. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oversubscription as it should be understood means more chasing less will give the owner leverage to negotiate more favorable terms. But we did not end up with more favorable terms and on top we accept to buy at a higher rate.   Doesn’t this reveal more about our much vaunted “economic fundamentals” than it does about anything else?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Now without delving further into\nthe coupon rate, how is it that our neighbors can negotiate longer maturity\nterms than we are?  Some experts posit\nthat longer maturity dates in principle mean that borrowers end up paying more\nin interest; but isn’t it the case that because you have a longer maturity\ndate, you also have flexibility to scout for better resale terms when you do\ndecide to repackage your bonds? <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Perhaps we all need education on these\nbonds. There was no choice than to have returned from the Eurobond market with\nsuccess. With Franklin Templeton Investment Group and other Wall Street\nassociates networking behind the scene, every source would be exploited to pull\nthings up, including going offshore for suspicious investors. Who are the real\nsubscribers, and what are their bid allotments? Who are the Transaction\nadvisors, and book runners, and what are their commissions and fees? Databank\nand other close associates will not be left out of this sumptuous transaction. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ghanaians should neither be swollen\nheaded nor overly excited about the 3billion bond issue. The foreign\nbillionaire is always ready to part with money provided he makes some more\nmoney. Government\u2019s social media brigade wants Ghanaians to celebrate because investors\nsaw the full picture of the Ghanaian economy and were not worried but rushed\nfor the bonds. Really? How bizarre? Compatriots, mind you, it is debt we are\nincurring; not free money. It has interests which government would not have the\ncourage to disclose. In our case, the Eurobond becomes like a credit card,\nwhich without self-discipline and vision we are going to be messed up big time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It goes without saying that Ghana as\na country will always attract investor funds, but the question still remains:\nwhat are we going to use the money for? Already the Akufo Addo government has\nnot done anything to build on the infrastructural gap in the country that John\nMAHAMA started. He has nothing to show for all the debt he has incurred on the\nGhanaian economy. Do we remember the centenary debt he was willing to impose on\nGhanaians from China? Ghana is at the mercy of these bonds; what do we\ncelebrate?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Any plans for the 3billion?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This begs the question: What\nspecific plans do we have for the 3billion accrued from the bond? If care is\nnot taken, This Akufo-Addo government would leave behind a legacy of debts and\nheadache for whoever comes after him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

What Ghana as a country should be\nthinking and doing is creating enough jobs for the masses; especially the youths.\nFor example, we should be looking at improving vocational training and\nequipping the next generation with skills and talents to create jobs for\nthemselves to lift them out of abject poverty. Once we are creating jobs, we\nwould be building up the middle class who will be paying taxes to fund social\nservices and infrastructure. This is common sense development economics which\nwe believe eludes the current economic management team.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We should also be looking at next\ngeneration investment like it is happening in fellow African country Rawanda\nwhere a seven-year-old startup announced that it had raised $1.25 billion,\nbringing its total investment to date to $3.4 billion. SoftBank Group Corp.,\nGrupo Salinas, Qualcomm Technologies Inc. and the Government of Rwanda led the\nlatest round, while Virgin Group, Coca-Cola and Airbus are existing investors.\nThough there are skepticisms about the business prospects of space satellites,\nthere is a fact that the future is technology. Is Ghana ready for that? What is\nthe plan for this 3billion? To buy cocoa?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Government should be looking at\nincentives for businesses especially in the informal sector. The Ghanaian\ninformal sector runs the economy. These are the people with no strong financial\nbackground, but given the right training especially in basic financial literacy\nthey can expand their operational base, improve their lives and that of their\ndependents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Or has the Akufo-Addo government\nany plans to the contrary?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Concern from the NDC Professionals Forum International \u2013 North America<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

We agree government spokespersons are paid to talk, but at least they can avoid the political spin to the issues. It\u2019s amusing that they mostly […]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3144,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,6,17],"tags":[528],"class_list":["post-3143","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","category-news-from-ghana-western-region","category-opinion","tag-eurobond"],"yoast_head":"\nGhana at the mercy of \u2018eurobonds\u2019\u2026what do we celebrate? - Apt News Ghana<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ghanaians should neither be swollen headed nor overly excited about the 3billion bond issue. 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